Daily Gold Trading Report- 4 December 2024

04 December 2024
OTC Market Data
High
Low
Close
Previous
Change USD
Change %
Gold
2655
2634
2643
2638
+5.00
+0.19%
Silver
31.10
30.45
31.02
30.50
+0.52
+1.70%

Today’s report delves into the gold and silver markets, providing detailed insights into the fundamental and technical factors shaping current trends. By examining key market movements and indicators, this analysis equips investors with the knowledge needed to make informed decisions and navigate the complexities of trading precious metals effectively.

Fundamental Analysis

Gold prices remain steady early Wednesday, attempting to maintain recent gains while awaiting key US economic data releases and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s anticipated speech. The US JOLTs Job Openings data revealed a stronger-than-expected labor market, with openings increasing to 7.744 million, exceeding the forecasted 7.48 million.

While the robust labor data temporarily lifted the US Dollar (USD), it capped gold’s rebound near $2,655. However, gold buyers retained their footing as the USD failed to sustain its gains. Notably, the data did not shift market expectations for a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in December, with a 73% probability still reflected by CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.


Gold Analysis

Gold prices are hovering near the critical short-term 50-day Moving Average support, currently at $2,633, reflecting buyer hesitation in a cautious market. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below 50, reinforcing a conservative approach. Furthermore, the Bear Cross from last week persists, adding to downside risks.

To advance, gold sellers need to break the $2,676 static support level, which could pave the way to challenge the $2,700 mark. Conversely, a sustained decline from current levels may expose the 100-day SMA at $2,572. The Stochastics Oscillator is reading 56, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 48.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
2572
2600
2633
2649
2676
2700
2727

Silver

Silver has rebounded and is now trading near the critical $31.00 level, attempting to maintain its strength. The gold/silver ratio hovers around the 85.00 mark. If silver holds steady above $31.00, it is likely to advance toward the $31.33–$32.00 range. The short-term Stochastics Oscillator is currently at 64, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 49.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
30.18
30.41
30.76
31.05
31.33
31.66
32.00

Indicator Definitions

  • Stochastics Oscillator: A momentum indicator that evaluates a closing price relative to its price range over a specified period. Readings above 80 indicate overbought conditions, while readings below 20 suggest oversold conditions.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): An indicator that measures price movements to assess market conditions. Readings above 70 signal overbought levels, while readings below 30 indicate oversold levels.
Key US Economic Reports & Events
When
Actual
Expected
Previous
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
5.15pm
146K
152K
233K
ISM Services PMI
7:00pm
52.1
55.7
56.0
Fed Chair Powell Speaks
10:45pm
NA
NA
NA

Conclusion

In the dynamic and constantly shifting bullion markets, a thorough understanding of both technical and fundamental analysis is essential for making informed investment decisions. This report aims to provide a comprehensive perspective, empowering investors to confidently navigate the complexities of gold and silver trading.

Disclaimer This report is intended for informational purposes only and is based on data from reputable sources. It does not constitute investment advice. ISA Bullion makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information provided and disclaims any liability for losses resulting from reliance on this report. Users are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with professional advisors before making any investment decisions. ISA Bullion, along with its directors, partners, officers, employees, and agents, expressly disclaims responsibility for any direct or indirect loss or damage arising from the use or reliance on the information contained herein.