Gold Technical Report: Gold prices remained rangebound between 50 days Exponential Moving Average @ 1967 and 10 days EMA @ 1955 . Medium term support is near 100 days EMA@ 1939. Long term trend is still intact as the prices and all these averages are above 200 days EMA @ 1867. The short term Stochastics Oscillator is at 54 (it is considered overbought when above 80 and oversold when below 20) and Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 46 (it is considered overbought when above 70 and oversold when below 30).
Silver Technical Report: The silver prices moved up on Friday from the intra day low near 10 days EMA @ 23.88 and 50 days EMA @ 23.92. The medium term trend looks intact as all of these averages are above 200 days EMA @ 22.40. Further more upside movement can be expected if 10 days EMA crosses above 50 days EMA. The Short term Stochastics Oscillator is at 66 and Relative Strength Index near 52.
Fundamental Report: Gold investors were closely evaluating the potential direction of interest rates following hawkish remarks from U.S. Federal Reserve policymakers. In their first comments since the central bank’s recent decision to keep the policy interest rate unchanged, Fed officials maintained a hawkish tone. This, combined with a firm dollar index, diminished the attractiveness of gold for buyers holding other currencies. The market is searching for direction as investors look grappled with the hawkish outlook on interest rates from the Federal Reserve, which counteracted the support provided by the dollar’s overall retreat during the week. Consequently, gold fluctuated between positive and negative territory.
Last week, the weakening employment figures and the relative strength of foreign currencies against the U.S. dollar provide tailwinds for the precious metal. Furthermore, although the dollar index saw a slight increase on Friday, it was on track for its worst week in five months, which makes gold more affordable for overseas buyers. Traders also took note of the University of Michigan’s survey, which indicated that near-term inflation expectations among U.S. consumers reached a more than two-year low in June, while the outlook for the next five years showed slight improvement. While gold is typically considered a hedge against inflation, the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion rises with interest rate hikes.