Gold Technical Report: Gold prices moved up for the third straight session. It had closed above 10 days EMA @ 1922 on Friday, and yesterday closed above the conjunction point of 50 days EMA and 100 days EMA near 1928 with a Green Marubozu. Major support is near 200 days EMA @ 1909 and major resistance lies near 1951 Horizontal TrendLine touchpoint. The short term Stochastics Oscillator is at 48 (it is considered overbought when above 80 and oversold when below 20) and Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 54 (it is considered overbought when above 70 and oversold when below 30).
Silver Technical Report: Silver prices also moved up parallely on second day. It opened above the 200 days EMA @ 23.05 and closed above 10 days EMA @ 23.13. Next target is near 23.48 where 50 days EMA and 100 days EMA are at conjuction point. The Short term Stochastics Oscillator is at 31 and Relative Strength Index near 46.
Fundamental Report: This week is all about the macroeconomics with major G20 nations set to announce interest rate decisions. A 36-hour schedule of global monetary policy decisions may set the tone for the rest of the year as central banks grapple with the mantra of “higher for longer” and take account of the inflationary effect of booming energy prices. Official data released last week showed U.S inflation accelerated at a scorching pace in August for a second consecutive month – adding yet another layer of complexity to the Federal Reserve’s efforts to bring consumer price pressures down to its 2% target. Mounting evidence suggests inflation isn’t fully tamed across much of the world and the unstoppable rise in energy prices is seen as a very reliable indicator that inflationary pressures could be heading back up in the 4th quarter of the year. With the Bank of England expected to raise rates and the Bank of Japan’s stance still unknown, gold investors are treading cautiously. If inflation remains sticky due to strong consumer spending and a tight labor market, it would force central banks to maintain or even increase elevated rates, hampering gold’s prospects for a strong rally. Therefore, it is increasingly unlikely that the Fed will loosen its grip on financial conditions this year, keeping gold bulls in check.