ISA Bullion Gold Report – 21 June 2024

21 June 2024
OTC Market Data
High
Low
Close
Previous
Change USD
Change %
Gold
2365
2327
2360
2328
+32.00
+1.37%
Silver
30.80
29.75
30.71
29.75
+0.96
+3.23%

Market Overview

Today’s analysis offers a comprehensive review of the gold and silver markets, highlighting the fundamental and technical factors driving current trends. Our report aims to provide investors with the insights needed to navigate these markets effectively.


Fundamental Analysis

Gold price is consolidating weekly gains near the highest level in nine days at $2,366, despite the US Dollar maintaining its recovery momentum alongside rising US Treasury bond yields. Gold price looks forward to preliminary business PMI data from both sides of the Atlantic for fresh trading impetus.

Gold:

  • Yesterday’s close above the 10-day MA of $2,341 could be seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders. Further upward movement towards testing the next relevant hurdle near the $2,378 level is on the cards. The Gold price could eventually aim to reclaim the $2,400 round-figure mark. On the flip side, the 50-day MA near the $2,328 area now seems to protect the immediate downside ahead of the $2,300 round figure and the $2,285 horizontal support. The short-term Stochastics Oscillator is at 63, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 54.
Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
2300
2328
2341
2361
2378
2400
2425

Silver:

  • Silver rallies as the gold/silver ratio pulled back towards the 77 level. If the gold/silver ratio declines below the support at 75.75, silver markets will gain additional upside momentum. From a technical point of view, a move above the resistance at $31.00 will open the way to test the next resistance at $31.24 – $31.48. The short-term Stochastics Oscillator is at 58, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 55.
Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
30.00
30.30
30.50
30.72
31.00
31.24
31.48

Indicator Definitions

  • Stochastics Oscillator: Indicates momentum by comparing a closing price to its price range over a certain period. It suggests overbought conditions above 80 and oversold conditions below 20.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): Measures price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions. A reading above 70 indicates overbought, while below 30 suggests oversold.
Key US Economic Reports & Events
When
Actual
Expected
Previous
YESTERDAY’s DATA
Unemployment Claims
4:30 PM
238K
235K
242K
Building Permits
4:30 PM
1.39M
1.45M
1.44M
Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
4:30 PM
1.3
4.8
4.5
TODAY’s DATA
Flash Manufacturing PMI
5:45pm
51.0
51.3
Flash Services PMI
5:45pm
53.4
54.8
Existing Home Sales
6:00pm
4.08M
4.14M

Summary

In the dynamic and complex landscape of bullion markets, staying informed with both technical and fundamental analysis is crucial for making sound investment decisions. Our report strives to provide a balanced view to assist investors in navigating the intricacies of gold and silver trading.

DisclaimerThis report is provided for informational purposes only, based on data from reputable sources, but is not intended as investment advice. ISA Bullion makes no guarantees as to the report's accuracy or completeness and disclaims any liability for losses that may arise from reliance on this information. Users are advised to conduct their own research and consult with professional advisors before making investment decisions. ISA Bullion, along with any associated directors, partners, officers, employees, or agents, expressly disclaims any responsibility for any direct or indirect loss or damage arising from the use or reliance on the information provided herein.