ISA Bullion Gold Report – 1 October 2024

01 October 2024
OTC Market Data
High
Low
Close
Previous
Change USD
Change %
Gold
2666
2624
2635
2663
-28.00
-1.05%
Silver
31.83
30.86
31.22
31.73
-0.51
-1.60%

Introduction (Enhanced)

Amidst ongoing economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions, gold and silver remain steadfast as crucial components of a well-diversified investment portfolio. As central banks recalibrate monetary policies and global markets respond to evolving developments, precious metals are poised to react dynamically. Our report today provides a comprehensive analysis of the current trends and technical drivers impacting gold and silver prices, equipping investors with the insights needed to capitalize on these market movements.


Fundamental Analysis

Gold:

Gold continues to exhibit bullish momentum, stabilizing near the $2,670 level as buyers capitalize on elevated geopolitical risks and expectations of dovish monetary policy from the Federal Reserve. If the price breaks above $2,670, a move toward the $2,700 psychological level is likely. On the downside, if the price slips below $2,623, further declines toward $2,600 could follow. The Stochastic Oscillator is currently at 77, indicating that gold is near overbought levels, while the RSI stands at 66, suggesting room for additional upward movement.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
2578
2600
2623
2645
2660
2686
2700

Silver:

Silver is struggling to maintain momentum as the gold/silver ratio rises toward 84.50. From a technical standpoint, silver remains supported above $31.00. A break below this level could signal further weakness, while a move above $31.75 would pave the way for potential gains toward $32.50. The Stochastic Oscillator is at 70, and the RSI stands at 58, indicating a neutral stance with a slight bias toward bullishness.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
30.50
30.64
31.00
31.40
31.85
32.28
32.50

Definitions of Key Indicators

  • Stochastic Oscillator: This momentum indicator compares a closing price to its range over a specific period. It identifies overbought conditions above 80 and oversold conditions below 20.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI measures the speed and change of price movements, indicating overbought conditions above 70 and oversold conditions below 30.
Key US Economic Reports & Events
When
Actual
Expected
Previous
Final Manufacturing PMI
5:45 PM
47.3
47.0
47.0
ISM Manufacturing PMI
6:00pm
47.2
47.6
47.2
JOLTS Job Openings
6:00pm
8.04M
7.64M
7.67M
ISM Manufacturing Prices
6:00pm
48.3
53.5
54.0

Conclusion 

As gold and silver continue to navigate a complex macroeconomic environment, investors should remain alert to upcoming economic data and central bank communications. Gold’s resilience above $2,623 and silver’s ability to hold above $31.00 will be key determinants of their near-term trajectories. With a balanced approach that considers both technical and fundamental factors, investors can position themselves strategically to take advantage of potential price movements in the precious metals market.

DisclaimerThis report is for informational purposes only and is based on data from reputable sources. It is not intended as investment advice. ISA Bullion disclaims any liability for losses arising from reliance on this information. Investors are encouraged to perform their own research and consult with professional advisors before making financial decisions.