ISA Bullion Gold Report – 10 October 2024

10 October 2024
OTC Market Data
High
Low
Close
Previous
Change USD
Change %
Gold
2624
2605
2608
2621
-13.00
-0.50%
Silver
30.76
30.20
30.48
30.65
-0.17
-0.55%

Introduction

As the global economic landscape remains unpredictable and investors seek refuge amidst ongoing geopolitical and economic tensions, gold and silver continue to assert their roles as indispensable components of a diversified investment strategy. These precious metals provide a dual function—acting as a store of value during market turmoil while offering potential growth opportunities. Our report dives deep into the latest market developments, analyzing key drivers and technical indicators that are influencing gold and silver prices, providing investors with actionable insights to navigate these turbulent times.


Fundamental Analysis

Gold:

Gold prices have extended their downtrend for the seventh consecutive day, reflecting growing speculation around the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy. Additionally, hopes of a potential ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel have further reduced gold’s appeal as a safe haven. Market participants are eagerly awaiting the FOMC minutes and U.S. inflation data, which could serve as short-term catalysts for price movements. Despite the current negative momentum, a close above $2,650 would reaffirm gold’s bullish outlook, setting the stage for a retest of $2,686. On the downside, failure to hold above $2,600 could prompt a decline toward $2,566. The Stochastic Oscillator is at 56, indicating a neutral stance, while the RSI is at 53, reflecting moderate conditions.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
2566
2584
2600
2615
2633
2650
2666

Silver:

Silver remains under pressure as the gold/silver ratio rises above 86.00, suggesting further weakening in the metal’s outlook. If silver falls below the $30.00 psychological level, the next major support zone is at the 50-day moving average of $29.50. The short-term technical indicators show a potential for further downside, with the Stochastic Oscillator at 49 and the RSI at 48, both reflecting neutral-to-bearish momentum.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
30.00
30.16
30.33
30.53
30.75
31.00
31.20

Definitions of Key Indicators

  • Stochastic Oscillator: This momentum indicator measures an asset’s closing price relative to its price range over a specific period. Readings above 80 indicate overbought conditions, while readings below 20 suggest oversold conditions.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought (above 70) or oversold (below 30) conditions, helping to identify potential reversal points.
Key US Economic Reports & Events
When
Actual
Expected
Previous
Core CPI m/m
4:30pm
0.3%
0.2%
0.3%
CPI m/m
4:30pm
0.2%
0.1%
0.2%
CPI y/y
4:30pm
2.4%
2.3%
2.5%
Unemployment Claims
4:30pm
258K
231K
225K

Conclusion

Gold and silver are at critical junctures as market sentiment shifts in response to geopolitical developments and potential changes in U.S. monetary policy. Gold’s ability to hold above the $2,600 level will be crucial for sustaining its upward momentum, while silver’s battle to maintain support above $30.00 will be a key indicator of its near-term trajectory. Investors should remain vigilant to upcoming economic releases and central bank communications, leveraging a combination of technical and fundamental analysis to identify trading opportunities and mitigate risks in these dynamic markets.

 

 

Disclaimer This report is intended for informational purposes only and is based on data from reputable sources. It is not to be considered as investment advice. ISA Bullion disclaims any liability for losses arising from reliance on the information provided. Investors are encouraged to perform their own research and consult with professional advisors before making financial decisions.