ISA Bullion Gold Report – 15 August 2024

15 August 2024
OTC Market Data
High
Low
Close
Previous
Change USD
Change %
Gold
2480
2439
2448
2465
-17
-0.69%
Silver
28.05
27.19
27.57
27.86
-0.29
-1.04%

Engaging Market Overview

In today’s rapidly evolving financial markets, gold and silver continue to shine as bastions of stability amidst uncertainty. This report delves into the intricate dynamics of the precious metals markets, offering strategic insights to help investors navigate these turbulent waters. Whether your focus is on short-term trades or long-term holdings, understanding the underlying forces at play is key to making informed decisions.

Fundamental Analysis

Gold prices have managed to stabilize above the critical $2,450 level, even as market participants brace for significant US economic data releases, including Retail Sales and Jobless Claims. Reduced expectations for aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have placed some downward pressure on gold, yet the metal remains buoyed by ongoing geopolitical tensions and a weakening US Dollar. The upcoming data could either reinforce or challenge the current bullish outlook for gold.

Gold:

The upper boundary of a symmetrical triangle near $2,470 continues to serve as a formidable resistance level for gold buyers. A decisive break above this could pave the way for a move toward the all-time high of $2,484, and potentially the $2,500 psychological mark. On the downside, failure to hold above $2,450 could see gold retreat to key support levels at $2,420 and $2,380. The short-term Stochastics Oscillator is at 72, and the RSI is at 59.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
2405
2425
2440
2452
2468
2480
2500

Silver:

Silver is showing resilience, rebounding from recent lows to trade around $27.70. However, the metal faces significant resistance near $28.00, with technical indicators suggesting caution is warranted for bullish traders. The short-term Stochastics Oscillator is at 87, and the RSI is at 43.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
26.80
27.18
27.45
27.72
27.90
28.13
28.35

Definitions of Key Indicators

  • Stochastics Oscillator: This momentum indicator compares a closing price to its price range over a specific period, highlighting overbought conditions above 80 and oversold conditions below 20.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI measures the speed and change of price movements to evaluate overbought (above 70) or oversold (below 30) conditions.
Key US Economic Reports & Events
When
Actual
Expected
Previous
Core Retail Sales m/m
4:30pm
0.4%
0.1%
0.4%
Retail Sales m/m
4:30pm
1.0%
0.4%
0.0%
Unemployment Claims
4:30pm
227K
236K
233K
Empire State Manufacturing Index
4:30pm
-4.7
-5.9
-6.6
Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
4:30pm
-7.0
5.4
13.9

Strategic Insights

In the complex and ever-changing world of bullion markets, staying informed through thorough analysis is crucial for making sound investment decisions. This report offers a balanced perspective, providing investors with actionable insights to navigate the nuances of gold and silver trading. As global economic conditions evolve, keeping a close watch on key indicators and market trends will be essential for identifying opportunities and managing risks effectively.

Disclaimer This report is provided for informational purposes only, based on data from reputable sources, but is not intended as investment advice. ISA Bullion makes no guarantees as to the report's accuracy or completeness and disclaims any liability for losses that may arise from reliance on this information. Users are advised to conduct their own research and consult with professional advisors before making investment decisions. ISA Bullion, along with any associated directors, partners, officers, employees, or agents, expressly disclaims any responsibility for any direct or indirect loss or damage arising from the use or reliance on the information provided herein.