ISA Bullion Gold Report – 16 August 2024

16 August 2024
OTC Market Data
High
Low
Close
Previous
Change USD
Change %
Gold
2470
2433
2456
2448
+8
+0.33%
Silver
28.53
27.50
27.37
27.57
-0.20
-0.73%

Engaging Market Overview

As global markets continue to ebb and flow with economic data and geopolitical tensions, gold and silver stand out as reliable pillars for investors seeking stability. In today’s analysis, we delve into the key factors influencing these precious metals, offering insights that help you stay ahead in a rapidly shifting landscape. Whether you’re focused on short-term gains or long-term security, understanding the current market dynamics is crucial to your investment strategy.


Fundamental Analysis

Gold prices have maintained their resilience above the critical $2,450 level, despite mixed signals from the US economy. Strong US Retail Sales and Jobless Claims data, coupled with lower inflation expectations, have somewhat capped gold’s upside. However, the ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, particularly in the Middle East, continue to lend support to the metal, providing a floor under prices.

Gold:

The short-term technical outlook for gold shows that the $2,470 level remains a significant resistance, with the metal trading within a symmetrical triangle formation. A break above this resistance could pave the way for a move toward the all-time high of $2,484, and potentially higher to $2,500. Conversely, a failure to hold above $2,450 could see a pullback toward $2,420 or even $2,380, where the 21-day and 50-day SMAs converge. The short-term Stochastics Oscillator is currently at 74, indicating near overbought conditions, while the RSI stands at 59.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
2405
2425
2440
2454
2468
2480
2500

Silver:

Silver prices have edged lower, hovering around $28.15 as traders weigh the impact of recent US economic data. The metal remains under pressure as hopes for a more substantial rate cut by the US Federal Reserve in September diminish. The short-term Stochastics Oscillator is at 54, and the RSI is at 47, reflecting a neutral outlook.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
27.30
27.55
27.90
28.16
28.30
28.51
29.00

Definitions of Key Indicators

  • Stochastics Oscillator: This momentum indicator compares a closing price to its price range over a specific period, highlighting overbought conditions above 80 and oversold conditions below 20.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI measures the speed and change of price movements to evaluate overbought (above 70) or oversold (below 30) conditions.
Key US Economic Reports & Events
When
Actual
Expected
Previous
Building Permits
4:30pm
1.40M
1.43M
1.45M
Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment
6:00pm
67.8
66.7
66.4
Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations
6:00pm
2.9%
2.9%

Strategic Insights

In the intricate and ever-evolving landscape of bullion markets, staying informed through comprehensive analysis is vital for making sound investment decisions. Our report aims to provide a balanced perspective, offering actionable insights to help you navigate the complexities of gold and silver trading. As global economic conditions continue to unfold, monitoring key indicators and market trends will be essential for identifying opportunities and managing risks effectively.

Disclaimer This report is provided for informational purposes only, based on data from reputable sources, but is not intended as investment advice. ISA Bullion makes no guarantees as to the report's accuracy or completeness and disclaims any liability for losses that may arise from reliance on this information. Users are advised to conduct their own research and consult with professional advisors before making investment decisions. ISA Bullion, along with any associated directors, partners, officers, employees, or agents, expressly disclaims any responsibility for any direct or indirect loss or damage arising from the use or reliance on the information provided herein.