ISA Bullion Gold Report – 25 October 2024

25 October 2024
OTC Market Data
High
Low
Close
Previous
Change USD
Change %
Gold
2744
2715
2735
2719
+16.00
+0.59%
Silver
34.28
33.22
33.65
33.80
-0.15
-0.44%

Introduction

In a climate of economic unpredictability and geopolitical turbulence, gold and silver have proven their value as essential assets for investors seeking security and potential growth. The recent movements in the bullion market, influenced by both economic fundamentals and technical momentum, provide an intricate picture of opportunities and challenges. This report delivers a comprehensive analysis, designed to equip investors with the insights needed to make informed decisions in this evolving landscape.


Fundamental Analysis

Gold:

Gold’s price remains stable, closing at $2,735, a 0.59% increase from the previous day, as it contends with a modest uptick in the U.S. dollar. Although expectations for smaller Fed rate cuts have strengthened the USD, ongoing geopolitical risks and political uncertainty in the U.S. lend support to gold prices. Technically, gold has retraced to $2,718—a critical Fibonacci Retracement level that reinforces current support. Resistance remains at the psychological $2,750 barrier, with an all-time high of $2,759 as the next target should bullish momentum persist. If sellers re-enter, the 38.2% Fibonacci level at $2,700 could provide additional support. The Stochastic Oscillator is at 81, and the RSI is at 68, signaling potential overbought conditions.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
2689
2700
2718
2728
2750
2780
2800

Silver:

Silver remains mostly flat, trading at $33.65, with limited momentum even as the gold/silver ratio rose above 81. Falling Treasury yields provided minimal support, with technical resistance still at $34.00. The Stochastic Oscillator for silver is at 78, and the RSI is at 61, indicating that while conditions approach overbought, there is room for further upside should silver hold above its key resistance levels.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
32.80
33.00
33.33
33.50
33.66
33.85
34.00

Definitions of Key Indicators

  • Stochastic Oscillator: This momentum indicator compares an asset’s closing price to its price range over a specific period, signaling overbought conditions when above 80 and oversold conditions when below 20.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): Measures the strength and speed of price movements, with readings above 70 indicating overbought conditions and readings below 30 indicating oversold conditions.
Key US Economic Reports & Events
When
Actual
Expected
Previous
Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
4:30pm
0.4%
-0.1%
0.5%
Durable Goods Orders m/m
4:30pm
-0.8%
-1.1%
0.0%
Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment
6:00pm
70.5
69.2
68.9

Conclusion

In the context of persistent economic uncertainties and shifting market dynamics, gold and silver prices are navigating pivotal support and resistance levels. Gold’s stability above the $2,718 Fibonacci level will be critical in sustaining its upward momentum, while silver’s ability to clear resistance at $34.00 remains crucial. Investors should stay alert to both technical indicators and key economic events, as these will continue to shape opportunities and risks in the bullion markets. Strategic vigilance will be essential for capitalizing on the strength of precious metals amidst global uncertainties.

Disclaimer - This report is intended for informational purposes only and is based on data from reliable sources. It is not intended as investment advice. ISA Bullion disclaims any liability for losses arising from reliance on this information. Investors are encouraged to perform their own research and consult with professional advisors before making any financial decisions​.