ISA Bullion Gold Report – 25 September 2024

25 September 2024
OTC Market Data
High
Low
Close
Previous
Change USD
Change %
Gold
2664
2622
2656
2628
+28.00
+1.06%
Silver
32.28
30.64
32.13
30.67
+1.46
+4.76%

Enhanced Introduction 

In the ever-evolving financial landscape, gold and silver continue to stand out as key assets, offering a safe haven for investors amidst global uncertainties. Recent market dynamics, fueled by geopolitical tensions and central bank interventions, are driving significant movements in these precious metals. This report delves into the key factors influencing the gold and silver markets, providing insights to help investors navigate opportunities and risks effectively.


Fundamental Analysis

Gold:

Gold prices have rallied to $2,670, marking a new record high as traders bet on a more aggressive policy easing by the U.S. Federal Reserve and increased geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The recent breakout from a short-term ascending channel suggests further gains are possible. However, momentum indicators reflect slightly overbought conditions, with the Stochastic Oscillator at 92 and the RSI at 74. This suggests the possibility of a short-term pullback or consolidation before further advances. Key support lies at $2,627, followed by the psychological $2,600 level, which, if breached, could trigger technical selling.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
2585
2600
2627
2654
2675
2700
2727

Silver:

Silver continues to climb, with traders betting on increased demand due to China’s stimulus measures. Silver is testing new highs near $32.50, with the Stochastic Oscillator at 88 and the RSI at 68. If silver consolidates near $31.75, we could see further movement toward the yearly highs of $32.50.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
31.03
31.25
31.50
31.72
32.00
32.25
32.50

Definitions of Key Indicators

  • Stochastic Oscillator: This momentum indicator compares the closing price to the asset’s price range over a defined period. It indicates overbought conditions above 80 and oversold conditions below 20.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI measures the speed and change of price movements. A reading above 70 indicates overbought conditions, while a reading below 30 suggests the asset is oversold.
Key US Economic Reports & Events
When
Actual
Expected
Previous
New Home Sales
6:00pm
716K
699K
Revised from 739K to 751K

Conclusion 

Gold’s surge to new record highs signals continued strength in the bullion markets, while silver’s steady rise reflects a potential for further gains, especially if it breaks past $32.00. However, with overbought conditions in play, a short-term pullback or consolidation phase is likely before another upward leg. Investors should remain vigilant, watching for key technical levels and staying attuned to global economic events that could influence market sentiment. By leveraging both technical and fundamental analyses, traders can better navigate these opportunities in the precious metals market.

Disclaimer: This report is provided for informational purposes only, based on data from reputable sources. It is not intended as investment advice. ISA Bullion disclaims any liability for losses that may arise from reliance on this information. Users are advised to conduct their own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.