ISA Bullion Gold Report – 3 October 2024

03 October 2024
OTC Market Data
High
Low
Close
Previous
Change USD
Change %
Gold
2663
2641
2657
2662
-5.00
-0.18%
Silver
32.33
30.99
31.86
31.41
+0.45
+1.43%

Introduction

Amid heightened geopolitical tensions and central banks recalibrating monetary policies, gold and silver have reinforced their positions as the go-to safe-haven assets for investors. These precious metals continue to demonstrate resilience in an environment marked by economic uncertainty and shifting market dynamics. In today’s analysis, we explore the fundamental and technical factors shaping the current trends in gold and silver, offering valuable insights to guide investment strategies.


Fundamental Analysis

Gold:

Gold is trading in a narrow range below its key resistance at $2,670 as investors await new economic data and potential policy hints from Federal Reserve officials. A breakout above $2,670 is needed to challenge the all-time high of $2,686, followed by the psychological level of $2,700. Conversely, a drop below $2,623 could trigger a broader sell-off, with the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,578 acting as a critical support level. Current momentum indicators—Stochastic Oscillator at 78 and RSI at 66—suggest gold is approaching overbought territory but still has room for further gains.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
2578
2600
2623
2653
2666
2686
2700

Silver:

Silver is attempting to stabilize above the $31.50 level as the gold/silver ratio falls below the 84.00 mark, suggesting renewed investor interest. However, silver needs to reclaim $32.00 to maintain its bullish outlook. Current momentum indicators—Stochastic Oscillator at 64 and RSI at 58—show room for additional gains, but the metal faces resistance at higher levels.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
30.64
31.00
31.20
31.58
31.80
32.00
32.11

Definitions of Key Indicators

  • Stochastic Oscillator: This indicator measures the momentum of an asset by comparing its closing price to its price range over a defined period. Readings above 80 indicate overbought conditions, while readings below 20 suggest oversold conditions.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): RSI measures the speed and change of price movements, indicating overbought conditions above 70 and oversold conditions below 30.
Key US Economic Reports & Events
When
Actual
Expected
Previous
Unemployment Claims
4:30 PM
225K
222K
218K
Final Services PMI
5:45 PM
55.2
55.4
55.4
ISM Services PMI
6:00pm
54.9
51.7
51.5

Conclusion 

The gold and silver markets continue to reflect strength amid a backdrop of economic uncertainty and geopolitical tension. Gold’s ability to maintain its position above $2,623 and silver’s resilience above $31.00 are key to their respective bullish outlooks. Investors should remain vigilant to upcoming economic data and central bank statements, which could influence price action in the near term. Utilizing both fundamental and technical analysis will be crucial for identifying potential opportunities in these volatile markets.

Disclaimer This report is for informational purposes only and is based on data from reliable sources. It is not intended as investment advice. ISA Bullion does not take any liability for losses that may arise from reliance on this information. Investors are encouraged to perform their own research and consult with professional advisors before making financial decisions.