ISA Bullion Gold Report – 7 October 2024

07 October 2024
OTC Market Data
High
Low
Close
Previous
Change USD
Change %
Gold
2670
2632
2652
2656
-4.00
-0.15%
Silver
32.97
31.50
32.17
32.05
+0.12
+0.37%

Introduction 

As global markets remain sensitive to evolving economic and geopolitical developments, gold and silver continue to serve as cornerstones of a diversified investment strategy. With central banks recalibrating their policies and geopolitical tensions adding layers of complexity to the financial landscape, these precious metals are attracting considerable attention from investors seeking stability and growth. This report delves into the key drivers impacting the gold and silver markets, providing crucial insights to help investors navigate these ever-changing conditions.


Fundamental Analysis

Gold:

Gold prices began the week on a softer note, trading within a familiar range near $2,650 as markets shift focus to upcoming speeches by U.S. Federal Reserve policymakers and the highly anticipated U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release later in the week. Despite the subdued price action, gold remains in a bullish consolidation phase, with oscillators holding comfortably in positive territory. The $2,686-$2,700 range remains a key resistance zone, while support is expected at $2,623, followed by the $2,600 level. The Stochastic Oscillator is currently at 74, and the RSI stands at 64, both signaling moderate strength.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
2584
2600
2623
2642
2666
2686
2700

Silver:

Silver tested yearly highs as the gold/silver ratio dipped below the 81.50 level before rebounding above 82.00. The metal remains well-positioned above the $32.00 mark, eyeing the next resistance at $34.00. The current technical setup shows that silver is maintaining bullish momentum as long as it holds above $31.75. A move above $32.50 could open the way toward the $34.25 resistance zone. The Stochastic Oscillator is at 72, while the RSI stands at 60, indicating continued strength in the market.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
31.40
31.58
31.75
32.00
32.11
32.33
32.50

Definitions of Key Indicators

  • Stochastic Oscillator: Measures the momentum of an asset by comparing its closing price to its price range over a defined period. Readings above 80 suggest overbought conditions, while readings below 20 indicate oversold conditions.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): Evaluates price changes and identifies overbought conditions above 70 and oversold conditions below 30.
Key US Economic Reports & Events
When
Actual
Expected
Previous
FOMC Member Bowman Speaks
9:00 PM
NA
NA
NA
FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks
9:50 PM
NA
NA
NA

Conclusion

In the intricate and evolving world of bullion trading, understanding both the fundamental and technical aspects is vital for making informed decisions. While gold’s consolidation phase suggests further gains, the $2,700 level remains a critical resistance point. Similarly, silver’s trajectory above $32.00 signals continued strength, but a break above $32.50 is needed to confirm sustained upward momentum. Staying abreast of economic developments and using a balanced analysis approach will enable investors to effectively navigate these market conditions.

Disclaimer This report is intended for informational purposes only and is based on data from reliable sources. It is not to be considered as investment advice. ISA Bullion disclaims any liability for losses arising from reliance on the information provided. Investors are encouraged to perform their own research and consult with professional advisors before making financial decisions.