ISA Bullion Gold Report – 8 October 2024

08 October 2024
OTC Market Data
High
Low
Close
Previous
Change USD
Change %
Gold
2660
2637
2643
2652
-9.00
-0.34%
Silver
32.35
31.40
31.72
32.17
-0.45
-1.40

Introduction

In the face of persistent global uncertainties and shifting monetary policies, gold and silver have reaffirmed their positions as safe-haven assets, providing both stability and growth potential for investors. As geopolitical tensions escalate and economic indicators paint a mixed picture, precious metals continue to be a focal point for strategic investment decisions. This report delves into the fundamental and technical factors shaping the current trends in gold and silver, providing key insights for navigating these volatile markets.


Fundamental Analysis

Gold:

Gold price maintains its corrective decline, hovering near the lower boundary of the recent range at $2,630. Investors are closely monitoring developments in the Middle East and the ongoing rollout of Chinese stimulus measures. Meanwhile, speeches from US Federal Reserve policymakers are expected to provide further directional cues. Despite the recent pullback, gold remains in a bullish consolidation phase, with immediate resistance seen around $2,686-$2,700. Key support levels lie around $2,623, which aligns with the short-term ascending channel resistance breakpoint, followed by the $2,600 mark. The Stochastic Oscillator stands at 71, signaling a neutral position, while the RSI is at 63, indicating moderate strength.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
2584
2600
2623
2645
2666
2686
2700

Silver:

Silver pulled back after the gold/silver ratio rebounded above the 83.00 level. RSI remains in moderate territory, indicating room for additional downside momentum in the near term. A break below $31.40 could push silver towards the $31.00 level, where stronger support is expected. The Stochastic Oscillator is at 62, and the RSI reads 55, suggesting a consolidation phase with potential for short-term corrective moves.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
31.00
31.18
31.40
31.58
31.75
32.00
32.11

Definitions of Key Indicators

  • Stochastic Oscillator: This indicator measures momentum by comparing a closing price to its price range over a specific period. It identifies overbought conditions above 80 and oversold conditions below 20.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): RSI measures the speed and change of price movements, indicating overbought conditions above 70 and oversold conditions below 30.
Key US Economic Reports & Events
When
Actual
Expected
Previous
NFIB Small Business Index
2:00 PM
92.0
91.2
Trade Balance
4:30 PM
-70.1B
-78.8B

Conclusion

Navigating the intricacies of the bullion markets requires a comprehensive understanding of both technical and fundamental drivers. Gold’s ability to defend the $2,623 support level will be crucial in determining its short-term trajectory, while silver needs to maintain its footing above $31.00 to avoid further downside pressure. Staying informed and leveraging the latest market data will enable investors to make strategic decisions and capitalize on emerging opportunities in these dynamic markets.

Disclaimer - This report is intended for informational purposes only, based on data from reliable sources. It is not intended as investment advice. ISA Bullion disclaims any liability for losses arising from reliance on this information. Investors are encouraged to perform their own research and consult with professional advisors before making any financial decisions.