ISA Bullion Precious Metals Market Analysis – May 15, 2024

15 May 2024
OTC Market Data
High
Low
Close
Previous
Change USD
Change %
Gold
2359
2335
2355
2338
+17.00
+0.72%
Silver
28.75
28.08
28.59
28.19
+0.40
+1.41%

Introduction:

Today’s analysis delves deeply into the gold and silver markets, examining the fundamental and technical factors that are currently shaping their dynamics. This comprehensive report is intended to equip investors with the necessary insights to navigate these volatile markets effectively.

Fundamental Analysis:

Gold prices posted modest gains, buoyed by a weakening US Dollar and robust investment demand amid ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Consistent central bank purchases and sustained safe-haven flows also support the upward trajectory of gold prices.

Technical Analysis:

Gold

Gold is exhibiting bullish behavior, trading above the crucial 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA). A sustained move above the May 10 high of $2378 could set the stage for a test of the $2400 psychological barrier, potentially paving the way to an all-time high near $2432.

  • Stochastics Oscillator: 72 (indicating near overbought conditions)
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): 58 (suggesting mild bullish momentum)
Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
2300
2316
2335
2357
2378
2400
2432

Silver

Silver is attempting to settle above the $28.75 level, with the gold/silver ratio declining, suggesting potential for silver to gain additional upside momentum.

  • Stochastics Oscillator: 88 (indicating an overbought condition)
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): 63 (reflecting strong bullish momentum)
Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
27.78
28.04
28.25
28.48
28.75
29.00
29.25

Indicator Definitions:

  • Stochastics Oscillator: A momentum indicator that compares a closing price to its price range over a given period, highlighting overbought (>80) or oversold (<20) conditions.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): Measures the rate of price changes to assess overbought (>70) or oversold (<30) conditions.
Key US Economic Reports & Events
When
Actual
Expected
Previous
Core CPI m/m
4:30 PM
0.3%
0.3%
0.4%
CPI m/m
4:30 PM
0.3%
0.4%
0.4%
CPI y/y
4:30 PM
3.4%
3.4%
3.5%
Core Retail Sales m/m
4:30 PM
0.2%
0.2%
1.1%
Retail Sales m/m
4:30 PM
0.0%
0.4%
0.7%
Empire State Manufacturing Index
4:30 PM
-15.6
-9.9
-14.3

Conclusion:

In the intricate and ever-changing landscape of bullion markets, a robust understanding of both technical and fundamental aspects is crucial for informed investment decisions. Our report is crafted to provide a balanced perspective, assisting investors in navigating the complexities of gold and silver trading.

Disclaimer: This report is provided for informational purposes only, based on data from reputable sources but not intended as investment advice. ISA BULLION disclaims any liability for reliance on this information and advises all clients to conduct their own research and consult with professional advisors before making investment decisions. We expressly disclaim any responsibility for any direct or indirect loss or damage arising from the use or reliance on the information provided herein.