ISA Bullion Precious Metals Market Review – May 17, 2024

17 May 2024
OTC Market Data
High
Low
Close
Previous
Change USD
Change %
Gold
2397
2371
2377
2386
-9.00
-0.37%
Silver
29.84
29.33
29.67
29.73
-0.06
-0.20%

Introduction:

Today’s detailed analysis explores the dynamics of the gold and silver markets, emphasizing the fundamental and technical factors influencing current trends. Our objective is to provide investors with essential insights to navigate these volatile markets effectively.

 

Fundamental Analysis:

Gold prices demonstrated a modest pullback today, despite earlier gains fueled by April’s softer-than-expected US inflation data, which had raised hopes for potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Recent comments from Fed officials, however, suggest a more cautious approach to lowering borrowing costs, tempering expectations for immediate rate reductions.

Technical Analysis:

Gold

Gold continues to exhibit a positive trend within an ascending channel that began on May 2. Despite today’s slight retreat, the outlook remains constructive above the 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Key resistance is found at the May 10 high of $2378, with potential targets extending to $2400 and beyond to the April 19 high at $2417, up to the all-time high at $2432. Conversely, a break below $2359 could trigger a corrective move towards $2300.

  • Stochastics Oscillator: 90 (suggesting an overbought condition)
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): 62 (indicating strong buying momentum)
Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
2300
2323
2359
2386
2400
2417
2432

Silver

Silver is nearing the critical $30.00 level, supported by a robust upward momentum. A sustained move above this level could see it challenging further resistance at $30.90 to $31.20.

  • Stochastics Oscillator: 95 (indicating extremely overbought conditions)
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): 69 (approaching overbought territory)
Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
28.75
29.00
29.33
29.67
29.80
30.00
30.25

Indicator Definitions:

  • Stochastics Oscillator: Measures momentum by comparing the closing price to its range over a specific period, identifying potential reversals when values exceed 80 (overbought) or drop below 20 (oversold).
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): Evaluates price momentum by measuring the magnitude of recent price changes. Readings above 70 suggest overbought conditions, while below 30 indicate oversold conditions.
Key US Economic Reports & Events
When
Actual
Expected
Previous
FOMC Member Waller Speaks
6:15 PM
NA
NA

Conclusion:

Navigating the intricacies of the bullion markets requires a comprehensive understanding of both fundamental and technical analysis. Our report is designed to offer a balanced perspective, assisting investors in making informed decisions as they engage with gold and silver markets.

Disclaimer: This report is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. ISA BULLION advises all clients to perform their own research and consult with professional advisors before making any investment decisions. We disclaim any liability for losses that may arise from reliance on this information.