Gold Technical Report: Gold prices have been on declining throughout last week and yesterday registered a small DOJI ( open and close prices at same level) indicating some indecision in the markets. Prices have reached at 7 moths low and weakness persists as it trades beow 200 days EMA @ 1894 and 10 Days EMA@ 1857 has already crossed below the same. Major support is near 1760 wich is 200 weeks EMA. Major upside resistance lies near 1900 psychological mark and then the conjunction point of 50 days EMA and 100 days EMA near 1919 and then 1951 Horizontal TrendLine touchpoint. The short term Stochastics Oscillator is at 6 (it is considered overbought when above 80 and oversold when below 20) and Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 24 (it is considered overbought when above 70 and oversold when below 30).
Silver Technical Report: Silver prices are also in a falling mode parallely and declined further after a DOJI ( open and close prices at same level) candle indicating some indecision in the markets, a day before. The prices are making an intra day low near 20.68 and bouncing back at the close for last 2 days. It has crossed below the conjunction point of 50 days EMA and 100 days EMA near 23.23 , 200 days EMA @ 23.00 and also 10 days EMA @ 21.88 all in last one week alone. The Short term Stochastics Oscillator is at 14 and Relative Strength Index near 30.
Fundamental Report: Despite Dollar weakness and yields declining gold futures continued to trade lower. The U.S. jobs market is robust, with unexpected increases in job openings reported in August as JOLTS data suggested. This strong data has supported the greenback and contributed to gold’s decline. Concurrently, benchmark U.S. 10-year bond yields have hit 16-year highs, affecting demand for the non-interest-paying bullion. Meanwhile, Federal Reserve officials are divided over the need for another rate hike this year but agree that rates need to remain elevated for an extended period. This is adding to the current volatility. Two more Fed policy meetings are scheduled this year, with market pricing pointing to a 25.7% chance of a rate hike on Nov 1 and a nearly 45% probability in December. Some market analysts suggest that the downtrend in gold prices may not persist, as most heavy selling pressure has been already priced in. However, there’s caution against premature optimism as the Fed’s rate hike cycle nears its end, traditionally a painful period known for “final liquidation breaks” in interest rate-sensitive and dollar-denominated assets like gold