Gold Technical Report: Gold prices played ina narrow range an market seemd to be in a consolidation mood. The prices are showing a little downwards bias and closed below 10 Day Moving Average (DMA) @ 2009 for second consecutive day. Both 10 DMA and 50 DMA @ 1914 are trading above 200 DMA @ 1796 hence, the medium term trend looks upwards. The major support stands at 200 DMA below which the trend may turn bearish. The short term Stochastics Oscillator is at 35 (it is considered overbought when above 80 and oversold when below 20) and Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 56 (it is considered overbought when above 70 and oversold when below 30) .
Silver Technical Report: The silver prices also following the suit, remained in a narrow range, but are still trading near a 12 month high. It has a strong support near the common area of 100 DMA @ 22.97 and 50 DMA @ 22.60. The medium term trend looks bullish as both of these averages above 200 DMA @ 21.27. The Short term Stochastics Oscillator is at 38 and Relative Strength Index near 64.
Fundamental Report: The investors have played bullish about gold based on the belief that the Federal Reserve could stop raising rates after the May FOMC meeting. The belief that the Fed will pause rate hikes after one final ¼% hike in May has ignited strong bullish market sentiment for gold pricing. Because there is an intrinsic lag between rate hikes and the effect on contracting the economy the Federal Reserve will need to pause at some point to gauge the outcome of raising rates at every FOMC meeting since March 2022. This optimism has pressured the dollar and yields lower and concurrently moved gold futures above $2000 per ounce. Recent volatility and diminished bullish market sentiment for gold have been in response to Federal Reserve officials who continue to reiterate the need for taking interest rates higher. Last week Fed Governor Christopher Waller said that the Federal Reserve needs to continue raising interest rates because of the high level of inflation. St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard underscored the need for higher U.S. interest rates to combat inflation.Market participants will continue to focus on more comments from Fed officials this week before the Feds standard blackout period that will begin on April 22, ahead of the May FOMC meeting. The CME’s FedWatch tool that reveals there is an 86.7% probability that the Federal Reserve will implement another rate hike of ¼% which would take their terminal benchmark rate to between 5% and 5 ¼%. Persistently high inflation will continue to be highly supportive of gold as pricing builds a base and eventual support at $2000.