Gold Technical Report: Gold prices moved in close range with negative bias around 10 days Exponential Moving Average @ 1953. Hereon, 50 days EMA @ 1966 is a short term resistance whereas short term support is near 100 days EMA@ 1938. Long term trend is still intact as the prices and all these averages are above 200 days EMA @ 1868. The short term Stochastics Oscillator is at 47 (it is considered overbought when above 80 and oversold when below 20) and Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 45 (it is considered overbought when above 70 and oversold when below 30).
Silver Technical Report: The silver also declined from intra day high as prices failed to move above Friday’s high and closednear 10 days EMA @ 23.87 and 50 days EMA @ 23.91. The medium term trend looks intact as all of these averages are above 200 days EMA @ 22.44. Further more upside movement can be expected if 10 days EMA crosses above 50 days EMA. The Short term Stochastics Oscillator is at 63 and Relative Strength Index near 50.
Fundamental Report: Gold prices are steady, trading within a narrow range as market participants eagerly awaited guidance from U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming testimony before Capitol Hill on Thursday,June 22. Recent price movements in gold have lacked follow-through, with intermittent bounces restrained by stronger Treasury yields, limiting the upside for the non-yielding precious metal. Investors are closely focused on Powell’s congressional event as they are seeking further clarity on interest rates after the Federal Reserve’s recent pause on monetary policy tightening. Expectations are high for cues regarding future rates, following the Fed’s “hawkish pause.” While gold is traditionally seen as an inflation hedge, the prospect of interest rate hikes increases the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding metal. Traders are now pricing in a 74% probability of a rate hike by the Fed in July, according to the CME Fedwatch tool. Some market participants had anticipated a more dovish outcome from the Fed, making the central bank’s recent shift disappointing for some investors. Consequently, there has been some offloading of gold as expectations were recalibrated.